First we see the championship play-off final, said to be the richest game in football and worth nigh on £100 million to the victors. Usually tense affairs on the emotions but goal wise you never know what to expect there have been some low scoring affairs over the 20 odd year history of the play offs and also some gung ho goals galore games. One 0-0 may make you confident to place trades based on goals being scored but the truth is it is a one off final and anything can happen.

The odds on West Ham may look slightly big given the performances this season, accumulating 11 points more than their opponents today in regular season and scoring 4 goals past them in both head to head meetings, but Blackpool have been there before have never lost a play-off game and it is impossible to write them off over 90 minutes. Over the second half of the season the teams were much closer together as Blackpool tended to leave it late to get going and for the second half of the season amassed just two points less than West Ham. As a betting medium I have found it impossible to pinpoint any value. Both teams score plenty of goals and favour slightly second half goals both for and against so perhaps a lay of the half time scoreline would look a decent approach to the match. As a Spurs fan I predictably would prefer a Blackpool victory (nothing really personal I just cannot buy into that whole “West Ham Way” thing that they bang on about) but I just cannot call it either way. I think it could be a great game and perhaps one bit of brilliance will see it decided, Carlton Cole could be someone who makes a huge impact if having a good day.

The match obviously has huge implications for those involved with glory for the winners and devastation for the losers as they face another season in the lower league and that will see personnel changes etc making next year even harder. Whilst they provide great excitement I am still not sure I am huge fan of the play off situation when a long season can come down to a game like this.

Unfortunately for the game  at Wembley it will play second fiddle to the Champions League Final tonight and that is a game that whilst I do not have a punting interest I do have a supporters interest as a Chelsea win sees Spurs kicked out of the Champions League. I am very much a supporter who wants to be involved in winning trophies and further to my post earlier on the week on finance in the game I do not like the culture of finishing 4th now seen as a success.

Winning a trophy is success no matter which one it is. As a player when they retire, will they really take pleasure in telling grandchildren, we finished 4th 2 out of 3 years. Surely better to talk about cups and trophies won. I cannot think of another sport where we even remember who finished 4th let alone rave about it.

Unfortunately though that is the nature of the game now and it is the financial implications that Champions League qualification brings. For Spurs and Chelsea today that is huge. Spurs would undoubtedly lose their best players if Chelsea prevail tonight and for all Abramovich’s money, should Chelsea lose then arguably Chelsea fall well down the pecking order when trying to sign players to rebuild their ageing squad and having to compete with Man City, Man Utd, Barcelona etc for the signature of the world class players. The next few seasons of both clubs could hinge on tonights results.

Bayern go into the game as favourites and having “slight home advantage”, I think I must refrain from calling it full home advantage based on the fact 30,000 tickets seem to be corporate which is simply a disgrace. People have raved about Chelsea beating Barcelona in the UK and it was a great feat over two legs even if blessed with a tad of luck along the way. They seem to be forgetting though that Bayern knocked Real Madrid out over two legs and that is no mean feat itself against the master of tacticians in those situations, Mourinho.

It will be tight, I expect Bayern to have more of the ball and Chelsea to absorb pressure and try and counter. Both teams are missing key players and Bayerns left side looks exposed. Both sides have match winners of exceptional quality, Chelsea have Drogba and Mata and Bayern have Ribery and Gomez.

It is a very difficult one to call, the fact it is in the Allianz Arena is a positive for Bayern for sure, I believe only one team with that advantage has lost a final. Bayern at home are good against English sides, Norwich City being their only conquerors in the early 90′s. Chelsea whilst improved slightly under Di Matteo have still not been great for me, drawing with Spurs, Arsenal, Fulham and losing to Newcastle in the league in games that would have seen them get a top 4 finish and then admittedly an under strength side humiliated by Liverpool. But cup wise they have produced the goods and they have now become a team which is unpredictable and anything can happen.

I would have to go with a Bayern victory as I think they are a better footballing side at the moment with better players, I was very impressed with them against Madrid and also earlier in the season when the destroyed Man City in the same ground. I think it will be a tight affair and Bayern may just edge it.

IF I was having a bet on the two games (and I am not, they are a viewing spectacle not a punting one) this would be them.

Blackpool v West Ham – Lay HT scoreline in – play

Bayern v Chelsea – Bayern win in 90 minutes,  Under 2.5 goals in 90 minutes, Gomez first goalscorer.

Instead of punting I will sit and chew my fingernails, Spurs not playing and today could still see a dreadful day with a West Ham/Chelsea double. I would have to move abroad for a wee while.

The managerial merry go round has started this week, Villa sack McLeish and Liverpool, god forbid, sack King Kenny an appointment I never really understood in the first place. Well played to Brendan Rogers for turning down the chance to speak to Liverpool. I find it amazing that these managers are so coveted after such a short time. Martinez should stay at Wigan and try and establish them as a mid-table team rather than jump ship to Liverpool. I have to say as a Liverpool supporter I would feel more confident in things seeing that they seem to be casting a wide net over the job, but AVB. Really!! Di Matteo may have his future decided tonight but again in my opinion put his Chelsea ties aside is he the manager you would want, I just don’t buy it myself. Would Di Matteo if he does not get the Chelsea job walk into another top 4 job, I very much doubt it. Both Chelsea and Liverpool need to stabilise and appoint an experienced person and give them time, it is no coincidence that Arsenal, Man Utd and now Spurs are stable clubs with senior experienced managers. Spurs suffered hugely from changing managers all the time and trying to bring in the next best thing. Where is Juande now?

I cannot wait for August all the media driven speculation on manager and player transfers does my head in.

Enjoy the games today, whatever happens they should be exciting viewing.

“Ich Bin ein Munchener”

One final mention of a blog worth visiting occasionally as he nicely gave me a mention this week http://green-all-over.blogspot.co.uk/. I dont know Cassini but he has referred to me a few times both positively and negatively. He is a winner I believe and I think it is more on US sports etc that he makes his cash but I read his blog most days and it is entertaining reading and knowledgeable even if we do not always see eye to eye, I think he is decent genuine guy, (like myself)

The racecard is now available. 5 collective pros have given their opinions on all 6 meetings and one of them has summarised this in a simple 6 page pdf with 1 page for each meeting. Some high price horses are mentioned and some favourites mentioned that should win or are best avoided. You can decide which information you wish to use and it may help those that have made their own picks already. No stakes etc are advised it is down to you to decide what you use the information for. Over the time I have had it, some big price winners have come in but of course this does not happen everyday.  If you have a suggestion for the format etc then please leave a post on the forum.

The racecard is £2.50 to purchase each day (covering all meetings)

To buy the racecard cick the Paypal button below after payment you will be redirected to a download page. No Refunds are available after purchase and anyone found sharing the racecard or download page will be removed from all FTS services.

If it goes well then I will look at a weekly/monthly price

Do not mention the actual advice on the forum pre race please.

Daily System Trials

Date: 18th May

All results will now be updated on Saturday.
If you have any system or product that you are using and would like a trial run then please E-mail @Kieranftsincome@gmail.com

As always with any results should you notice any discrepancies’ then please E-mail me and I will make any necessary changes!

Alli’s Lay The Draw: 
Selections may follow

Correct Score Lays: 
No Selections Today

Overs & Under Markets: 
No Selections today

2^nd Half LTD:
No Selections today

Bet-Goal 365:
League of Ireland – Prem

Cork City vs. UCD

Over 2.5 Goals

Best Odds: Betdaq @ 1.88

League of Ireland – Prem

Dundalk vs. Monaghan United

Over 2.5 Goals

Best Odds: Betdaq @ 2.14

Lay The First Half:

No Selections

Rugby League Tips:

Huddersfield v Wigan; Huddersfield +6 1pt @ 10/11

Salford v Bradford; Salford +4 1pt @ 10/11
 

Bakers Horse Bets:

Paul Beaumont Pre-Price Horse Racing: 
Starting soon

Reviews: 
Goals Galore: 
Total Football Trading: 
Trading With A Day Job: 
Ex-Bookie:

With reviews we cannot put the selections up pre-event as people are already paying for selections etc. however we will continue to monitor and will posts the results up after the event. 
As always we advise everyone to only follow with interest. Should you have any questions please feel free to E-mail me @ kieranftsincome@gmail.com

Many thanks for following 
Kieran

Date: 17th May

All results were updated last night, with the exception of Ex-bookie and Bakers Horse Bets. If you have any system or product that you are using and would like a trial run then please E-mail @ Kieranftsincome@gmail.com

As always with any results should you notice any discrepancies’ then please E-mail me and I will make any necessary changes!

Alli’s Lay The Draw:

No selections today

Correct Score Lays:

Helmond Sport v VV Venlo

Waalwijk v Vitesse

Ooestende v Westerloo

Overs & Under Markets:

No Selections today

2^nd Half LTD:

No Selections today

Bet-Goal 365:

No Selections today

Lay The First Half:

Torquay vs Cheltenham (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.26)
Malmo FF vs Elfsborg (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.38)
FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.42)
Astra Ploiesti vs FC Brasov (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.16)
Steau Bucharest vs Dinamo Bucuresti (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.22)
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura OS (Lay the 1st half draw at 2.34)

Rugby League Tips:

No Selections today

Bakers Horse Bets:

2.10    Sali    Shestheman
2.20    Pert    Samstown
3.00    York    Prince Of Johanne
3.10    Sali    Daunt
3.20    Pert    Makhzoon
4.30    Pert    Outrageous Request
4.45    York    Dark Ranger
5.05    Pert    Kings Chorister
5.25    Sali    All Right Now
5.30    Ludl    Argaum
6.05    Ludl    Qalinas
7.45    Ludl    Strumble Head
8.15    Ludl    Gap Of Dunloe

Paul Beaumont Pre-Price Horse Racing:

Starting soon

Reviews:

Goals Galore:

Total Football Trading:

Trading With A Day Job:

Ex-Bookie:

With reviews we cannot put the selections up pre-event as people are already paying for selections etc. however we will continue to monitor and will posts the results up after the event.

As always we advise everyone to only follow with interest. Should you have any questions please feel free to E-mail me @ kieranftsincome@gmail.com

Many thanks for following

Kieran

The racecard is £2.50 to purchase each day (covering all meetings)

To buy the racecard cick the Paypal button below after payment you will be redirected to a download page. No Refunds are available after purchase and anyone found sharing the racecard or download page will be removed from all FTS services.

If it goes well then I will look at a weekly/monthly price

Do not mention the actual advice on the forum pre race please.

Reviewing your action and being honest is a habit you should start to develop. Habit forming is simply the process by which new behaviours become automatic, those of you who may smoke and reach for a cigarette on waking have formed a habit. When it comes to betting I believe people have many habits that they are unaware of and probably for the most part bad habits. The urge with gambling is that it is quick easy money and all the while people think that, they will develop bad habits towards their betting action. Since the start of this site I have spent hours and hours in discussions with people either face to face or via email who have for one reason or another struggled to make any money. We always find bad habits that are a contribution to the cause.

I have stressed many times and again it is just my opinion that most gamblers are dishonest with themselves and those around them, this dishonesty becomes a bad habit that soon becomes crippling. It is just like life once you start down the dishonesty road you have to keep being dishonest to keep covering your tracks and eventually it all crashes in on top of you.

This time of year is a good time to make a new start and be honest with your gambling. It is time to look at your own action and find your bad habits.

A simple review of what you do will highlight any weaknesses, is it down to staking? Do you still bet everything going because you are scared to miss out? Two weeks ago I met with Kieran in London to discuss the next few months evolving the site and what we wanted to provide. The discussion inevitably turned to gambling and Kieran basically admitted that whilst he had once turned a Betfair account from £25 into over £2000, he subsequently lost the lot and struggled to make money consistently. He knew in his head what he had to do and what he should do and could relay it to me in words. However he could not do it in person as he has bad habits that need breaking and needs to form new good habits. It is not easy but I am out of the camp that whilst certainly personality traits are down to genetics, we can all change if we wish to. I believe that people are formed more by the social situations around them but that is a debate we could have for days. For now I will stick with good habits can be formed and learned and it is down to the individual to do so.

To change, demands willpower or self control. Both to me are the same thing but I prefer the term self control as it at least relates to the term self and some input for the individual. Willpower to me, seems to relate to some mystical power that is over us and we fight it.

Self control covers many things but encompasses controlling your inner emotional world and gambling can place this under great duress. It is important that you are capitalised to be able to stake to the level you wish, I am a believer in leaving your betting bank alone and letting it grow. If you have to earn money in your gambling to withdraw and pay a bill it will affect your ability to bet without emotion.

I struggled with certain things when I first started and the biggest hurdle was going to bed on any particular night losing. I always wanted to go to bed winning and this occassionally led to me sitting up to 3am to play a South American game I had no clue about. Once I just learned to accept losing days as part of the process and had the “self control” to shut everything down and go to bed then my performance and winnings improved enormously. It was a habit I changed and a self control I developed.

I always worry about people gambling with money they can ill afford to lose and putting themselves under pressure to win. People read the emails and get taken in by the stories of promised riches. If you have to win to pay a bill you really should be looking at what you are doing as that sort of pressure will defeat you in the end. I am a believer in different methods and long gradual profits. Big winnings when they come along are lovely, the racecard yesterday for example had a 41.0 winner but I understand that this cannot happen every day. (I think a lot of people think it will) and that slow long term gradual earnings are the way to build an income.

If you put yourself under pressure you can end up with a hair-trigger reaction to your betting. Your betting needs to be planned and good habits formed. Paper trading for example is a good habit, not just to see if something is profitable, but to learn and understand the market you are operating in. Just in this last week or so I sent out a new method I have started using to Elite members in the Correct Score Market. I sent it for them to look at, understand it and see if it was something they wanted to consider using next season.  I use it and as part of my work I applied it to over 3000 games before placing a single bet. I looked at the market for probably another 5000+ games. On the day I sent it out, people were betting it, the forum started showing manipulations of it and why dont we do this etc etc. On reading it, it just deflates me. The idea was to look at it, see what you think and we can start next season. The system has the potential to provide 60-70 points profit every 50 or so games traded but liquidity etc have to be right. People have that “hair trigger” of impatience and just cannot follow something without the buzz of money down. It is a bad habit and a lack of self control, if something works long term you will not miss out. We have many services/trials on this site and I will not apologise for that. Many people enjoy them. Services such as Greenstreak are a great steady profit maker, hardly ever losing and you can follow it for nothing, no risk diddly squat. But people do not they rush into everything with massive hopes of riches, continually get burned in a bad week and move on. It is just a bad habit and the marketers know it so use the language to make you respond. You are better off saving your money, getting some self control and looking at a strategy 6 months down the line for what you will use having followed things on paper.

Gambling is as much about learning as anything else. learning your markets, your comfort zone, what can go wrong, and most importantly about yourself. I am not an excuses man, if I lose I lose. It is not anyone else’s fault and I have had 5 figure day losses. If you want to succeed, change your bad habits into good hablts and learn some self control. You will be amazed where it takes you.

I hope some of the above makes sense and gets some thinking about what they do.

This next week will see the introduction of a weekly newsletter for FTS, been slightly delayed as Kieran did his ankle in and I had blood pressure issues but it is moving along.

We will be updating the site with all the results and send out a complete overview of all the services trialled and managed on FTS within the next week. We have some good profitable stuff going on at the moment.

The racecard now has its own section on the top right under FTS managed services and you can click there to add your email to receive the daily racecard information so that I am not sending it to those who do not want to receive it. I still think this is the best racing set up I have seen this year for winning information.

Finally I was asked by an FTS member to affiliate with a site which as you know I rarely do and am not doing in this case but it was mentioned on the forum and I have had some mail etc about it. They have copied the FTS site (almost exactly) of trials etc and it seems to be set up ok and some of the products look to be doing ok. You can get free trials of 7 or 8 services for 30 days which I know most feel is not enough but you can also continue to monitor results like this site as they copy us and upload spreadsheets etc of the services. I know it has been promoted and rather than field all the emails I have had about it or forum questions you can look yourself. www.elitebettingservices.com. I have signed up to the trials and will mention any positives if the need arises later in the year.

If you wish to receive mail updates about the racecard and be advised when the latest daily issue is online please enter your email below in the box. You will receive an email in your inbox to verify your details. Each day I will send you details of the new racecard being ready and will also post a link to it on this page daily around lunchtime. The racecard is £2.50 a day and you can download it in a pdf format with one page for each meeting that day. There are no plans to change the current set up at the moment.

Enter your details below to receive racecard updates.

The rules are simple:

• Lay The Draw @ Half Time (if game is drawing)
• After the first goal goes in, give the market a couple of minutes to settle down before backing at what the odds have reset.
• Let the game run until the end if no goal is scored.

The Author has also included Laying the score at Half-Time in games that qualify as he believes that these will make a profit as well, I have included both resutls in the spreadsheet and these will be recorded to £50 lays.

Click here to view the latest results:

Should you have any questions please E-mail me @ Kieranftsincome@gmail.com

I have been trialling these selections behind the scenes for the past 2 months and so far they have produced a decent level of profit, I will post pre-selections from 1st May, so we can monitor results.

Click here to view the latest results:

Any questions then please E-mail me @ Kieranftsincome@gmail.com

Rules:

Always place a bet and lay the current half-time scoreline

Lay the bet for maximum odds of 4.0, if odds are higher place your bet and wait for it to be matched.

If a goal goes in before you bet is matched, then the bet is a non-qualifier

Note: I am running 2 experiment banks, one bank includes all half-time scorelines to lay, the second bank excludes all 0-0 matches.

All results are subject to 5% commission.

Click here to view the latest results:

If you have any questions please E mail me @ kieranftsincome@gmail.com